Bitcoin price gains alongside major stock indices after robust US jobs report

Quick Take

  • Bitcoin gained on Friday alongside major equity indices after robust jobs data signaled strength in the U.S. economy. 
  • However, the March figures could lead investors to adjust their bets regarding the timing of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of 2024. 

Bitcoin BTC +6.19% gained on Friday alongside major equity indices after a robust U.S. jobs report indicated the domestic economy is strong. However, the report also cast uncertainty over a forthcoming cut in interest rates.

The world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization increased by 1% over the past 24 hours to $68,450 at 10:55 a.m. ET, according to The Block's Price Page

Stocks rebounded during early U.S. trading hours on Friday as traders evaluated the March jobs report. This follows Thursday's close, which marked the worst session on Wall Street in several months. 

The S&P 500 gained 0.6%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 107 points, or 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.8%.

March jobs data stronger than expected

In March, U.S. employers added 303,000 jobs, exceeding expectations and signaling that the labor market remains strong despite higher interest rates.

The figures, released by the U.S. Labor Department on Friday, were notably stronger than the 200,000 job gains economists had anticipated. Because of the robust employment data and resilient economic activity, the Fed may be able to maintain unchanged rates for a more extended period.

RELATED INDICES

According to the CME's FedWatch tool, interest rate traders are 94.7% certain that the Fed will hold rates steady in May. The market now expects the chances of a rate cut at the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting to be 50.8%. 

Low unemployment and strong job growth can lead to upward pressure on wages and prices, potentially contributing to inflation. In such a scenario, the Fed may be more inclined to consider keeping interest rates steady rather than cutting them to prevent the economy from overheating.

Doubts cast over imminent interest rate cut

The current macroeconomic dynamic could foster risk-off sentiment, potentially exerting downward pressure on risk assets, such as bitcoin.

On Thursday, Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin said the U.S. central bank should hold rates steady until the picture on inflation becomes clearer. Speaking at the Home Building Association of Virgina, Barkin said it would be "smart for the Fed to take our time" before lowering interest rates in light of the elevated inflation readings in early 2024.

"No one wants inflation to reemerge, and given a strong labor market, we have time for the clouds to clear before beginning the process of toggling rates down," he added.


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© 2023 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

About Author

Brian McGleenon is a UK-based markets reporter for The Block. He has worked as a financial journalist and producer for multiple news outlets over the years, such as Fuji Television, The Independent, Yahoo Finance, The Evening Standard, and The Daily Express. Brian is also a screenwriter and producer with one feature film produced and one in development with Northern Ireland Screen. Apart from web3 and cryptocurrency developments, he is also interested in geopolitics, environmental issues, artificial intelligence, and longevity research. Get in touch via email [email protected].

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